. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. {* backButton *} The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Look at that. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Sorry we could not verify that email address. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. 34. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. NeverSober1900. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. Arizona Diamondbacks. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Im going to disregard them for now, though all five should (and all but Sabathia probably will) make it eventually. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. Your login session has expired. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Decade-plus Eagles writer. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Or could it be that a lot of this is happening because Wainwright is 41 years old and headed to his 42nd birthday on Aug. 30? Rile people up.. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. All rights reserved. His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. But theres no alarm. Were not sure if hell be ready by Opening Day, but at this point our priority is to take care of this now so we can have him available for virtually the entire season. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. Adam Wainwright Stats. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. The 40-year . If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. He answers the tough question on if his legacy is enough to get him into the MLB Hall of Fame alongside the all-time greats.Follow all our social media channels for more content!https://twitter.com/FoulTerritoryTVhttps://www.instagram.com/foulterritoryshow/https://www.tiktok.com/@foulterritoryshowhttps://www.facebook.com/FoulTerritoryShowhttps://www.twitch.tv/foulterritoryshow Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. {* traditionalSignIn_signInButton *}, Comment and participate in our online community. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. ago. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. 2020 has given us many. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? . The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). No harm. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Be the first one to comment on this story. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. 5th stage: 60-day IL. And right now, he simply isnt there. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. And if the Sox do pick up his option, he is by no means a lock to pass Eckersley in saves next year if Hendriks gets most of the chances. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac.
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